Original Research
Human capital and economic growth in South Africa: A cross-municipality panel data analysis
Submitted: 18 February 2020 | Published: 19 March 2021
About the author(s)
Nicholas Ngepah, School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South AfricaCharles S. Saba, School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
Ntombomzi G. Mabindisa, School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
Abstract
Aim: This study investigates the effect of human capital of employed labour on economic output and growth in South Africa.
Setting: The study focuses on the balanced panel of 269 South African municipalities for the period 1993 to 2016.
Methods: The study utilises panel causality test and the generalised method of moments estimation techniques.
Results: A panel causality test confirms bidirectional causality between human capital and total output, as well as between total employment and total output. The resultant aggregate findings suggest that human capital has a positive and a significant impact both on total output and economic growth. The disaggregated proxy of human capital shows that higher levels of skilled employment is associated with higher total output and economic growth.
Conclusion: The findings of the effect of skilled employment on economic growth are in line with theoretical literature and therefore the study concludes that human capital in the form of skilled labour has a positive effect on both economic output and growth in South Africa. This informs policy to prioritise the upskilling of the labour force in order to contribute positively towards value-generating economic activities in South Africa.
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