Original Research

A comparison of inflation expectations and inflation credibility in South Africa: results from survey data

Jannie Rossouw, Vishnu Padayachee, Adel Bosch
South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences | Vol 14, No 3 | a8 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajems.v14i3.8 | © 2011 Jannie Rossouw, Vishnu Padayachee, Adel Bosch | This work is licensed under CC Attribution 4.0
Submitted: 14 May 2010 | Published: 25 August 2011

About the author(s)

Jannie Rossouw, SA Reserve Bank, South Africa
Vishnu Padayachee, University of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Adel Bosch, University of Pretoria, South Africa

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Abstract

This paper reports a comparison of South African household inflation expectations and inflation credibility surveys undertaken in 2006 and 2008. It tests for possible feed-through between inflation credibility and inflation expectations. It supplements earlier research that focused only on the 2006 survey results. The comparison shows that inflation expectations differed between different income groups in both 2006 and 2008. Inflation credibility differed between male and female respondents, but this difference did not feed through to inflation expectations. More periodic survey data will be required for developing final conclusions on the possibility of feed-through effects. To this end the structure of credibility surveys should be reconsidered, as a large percentage of respondents indicated that they ‘don’t know’ whether the historic rate of inflation is an accurate indication of price increases.


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Crossref Citations

1. Inflation Expectations Anchoring Across Different Types of Agents: the Case of South Africa
Ken Miyajima, James Yetman
IMF Working Papers  vol: 18  issue: 177  first page: 1  year: 2018  
doi: 10.5089/9781484372043.001